Research institutions predict China’s GDP growth rate dropped to 6.66%- Sohu news in 2016 vidown

Research institutions predict that China’s GDP growth rate dropped to 6.66%- in 2016, Sohu news agency Beijing 25 February   (reporter Wang Enbo) 25 in Beijing released a research report is expected, in 2016 China’s annual GDP growth rate or drop to 6.66%. The macro economic research center of Xiamen University and the economic information daily of Xinhua News Agency jointly issued "China’s macroeconomic forecast and analysis spring report in 2016" to predict the trend of China’s economy in 2016. The report believes that in the next two years, China’s economic growth will continue downward under the pressure of investment slowdown, but the growth rate will slow down, the risk of deflation is relatively small. China’s GDP growth rate is expected to be 6.66% in 2016, a slight decrease compared with 6.9% in 2015; consumer price index (CPI) rose by 1.48%, or 0.04 percentage points higher than in 2015. The report also forecasted the China track economic operation in 2016 due to the production process: bank credit in the cautious factors such as the slowdown in investment in the first half of 2016 will not be significantly improved, is expected to China economic growth will therefore continue to slow to second quarter 6.61%; with the devaluation of the renminbi is expected to increase the demand for export, as well as the monetary authorities will cooperate with finance the policy adjustment of market expectations at the end of the two quarter, the three quarter of 2016 is expected to China GDP growth rate will reach 6.68%, the fourth quarter is expected to rise further to 6.70%. Specifically, in terms of investment, the report predicts that over the next two years, excess capacity of China’s manufacturing industry, excessive inventory of real estate and the higher actual debt burden of enterprises will continue to bring downward pressure. In 2016, China’s urban fixed assets investment growth rate was about 9.13%, 1.11 percentage points lower than in 2015. In foreign trade, although the IMF expects the global goods and services trade to resume growth in the next two years, the report believes that the high economic growth uncertainty of the world’s major economies will continue to inhibit China’s export growth. It is estimated that China’s total exports will increase by 0.83% in 2016, and the growth rate of imports will decrease further. Consumption, the report said, because China’s real income growth in the short term is difficult to significantly improve, consumer habits, consumer tendencies are also difficult to change greatly, so the next two years, China’s consumer spending will continue to maintain a slow growth trend. Author: Wang Enbo 研究机构预测2016年中国GDP增速降为6.66%-搜狐新闻  中新社北京2月25日电  (记者 王恩博)25日在北京发布的一份研究报告预计,2016年中国全年GDP增速或降为6.66%。  厦门大学宏观经济研究中心与新华社经济参考报当日联合发布《中国宏观经济预测与分析――2016年春季报告》,对2016年中国经济走势进行预测。  报告认为,未来两年中国经济增速在投资减速的压力下还将继续下行,但增速降幅将有所减缓,陷入全面通货紧缩的风险相对较小。预计2016年中国GDP增速为6.66%,较2015年的6.9%略有下降;居民消费价格指数(CPI)上涨1.48%,涨幅比2015年上升0.04个百分点。  报告还对2016年中国经济运行轨迹进行了预测:由于去产能过程中银行信贷谨慎等因素导致的投资减速在2016年上半年将不会明显改善,预计中国经济增速将因此持续放缓至第二季度的6.61%;随着人民币贬值预期增强拉动出口需求,以及货币当局将在二季度末配合财政政策调整市场预期,预计2016年三季度中国GDP增速将达到6.68%,四季度则有望进一步回升至6.70%。  具体来看,就投资方面而言,报告预测,未来两年中国制造业的过剩产能、房地产业的过度库存以及企业普遍较高的实际债务负担将继续带来下行压力。2016年中国城镇固定资产投资增速约为9.13%,比2015年回落1.11个百分点。  外贸方面,尽管国际货币基金组织预计未来两年全球货物和服务贸易将出现恢复性增长,但报告认为全球主要经济体较高的经济增长不确定性将继续抑制中国出口增长。预计2016年中国出口总额(以美元、按现价计算)将增长0.83%,进口总额增速则将进一步降低。  消费方面,报告称,由于中国居民实际收入增速短期内难以大幅提高,居民消费习惯、消费倾向亦难以发生较大变化,因此未来两年中国居民消费将继续保持缓慢增长态势。  作者:王恩博相关的主题文章: